Climate

Research reports related to climate and rural fire danger in New Zealand. The topics include a fire danger climatology and severity for New Zealand, the impact of climate change on long-term fire danger and improved estimates of the effect of climate change on NZ fire danger.
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    A Fire Danger Climatology for New Zealand

    H. Grant Pearce, K. Leigh Douglas and John R. Moore
    The principal objective of the project was to extend and improve the New Zealand fire climatology analysis undertaken in 1996. This was prepared for the New Zealand Fire Service Commission Contestable Research Fund.
    Published Online - 30 May 2003. [458.1 KB] (pdf).
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    Impact of Climate Change on Long-term Fire Danger

    H. Grant Pearce, A. Brett Mullan, M. James Salinger, Todd W. Opperman, Darrin Woods, John R. Moore.
    This report details the findings of research conducted on the likely changes in fire danger under scenarios of climate change for New Zealand.
    [3.4 MB] (pdf).
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    A Fire Danger Climatology for New Zealand - North Island Fire Danger Climate tables

    North Island Fire Danger Climate tables, Appended to "A Fire Danger Climatology for New Zealand
    [1.0 MB] (pdf).
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    A Fire Danger Climatology for New Zealand - South Island Fire Danger Climate tables

    South Island Fire Danger Climate tables, appended to "A Fire Danger Climatology for New Zealand"
    [728.5 KB] (pdf).
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    Fire climate severity across New Zealand

    Grant Pearce, Jessica Kerr, Veronica Clifford & Heather Wakelin
    The objective of this study was to provide improved information on fire climate severity across New Zealand.
    Published Online - Apr 2011. [4.5 MB] (pdf).
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    Use of Long-term Fire Danger Data Sets to Predict Fire Season Severity

    H. Grant Pearce and John R. Moore
    This report summarises research completed by the Fire Research programme with funding from the New Zealand Fire Service Commission ‘s Contestable Research Fund to develop an analytical methodology for comparison and prediction of fire season severity.
    Published Online - 30 Jun 2004. [1.6 MB] (pdf).
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    Impact of climate variability on fire danger

    Pearce, H.G., Salinger, J. & Renwick, J.
    This report sought to improve understanding of the potential effects of climate variability on fire climate and fire danger trends in New Zealand, and to determine likely differences in fire danger for the two key natural cycles that operate over time scales of seasons to years (El Niño-Southern Oscillation) and decades (Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation).
    Published Online - 1 Aug 2007. [1.4 MB] (pdf).
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    Prediction of fire weather and fire danger

    Renwick, J., Salinger, J., Zheng, X. & Pearce, G.
    This project, lead by NIWA and funded by the New Zealand Fire Service Contestable Research Fund, investigated methods for forward prediction of severe fire weather.
    Published Online - 1 Jun 2007. [1.7 MB] (pdf).
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    Improved estimates of the effect of climate change on NZ fire danger

    Grant Pearce and Jessica Kerr
    This study provides improved estimates of fire danger for New Zealand under future climate.
    Published Online - May 2011. [1.3 MB] (pdf).
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